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The strong data meant investors are pricing out the likelihood of a cut in the first half of this year, noted Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid this morning: “The probability of a cut by the June meeting (which would be the first with a new chair) fell to just 39% by the close, the lowest so far this year. So clearly there’s growing skepticism that a new chair can start cutting straight away, particularly with the data as strong as it is right now.”
，详情可参考电影
This past weekend, after the United States and Israel went to war with Iran, leading prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket erupted with activity. That included extremely contentious markets around the death of Iran’s supreme leader, and some that appeared to be rife with insider trading from people with advanced knowledge of US military actions.
就在津巴布韦关上一扇门的同时，另一扇窗正在打开。